Tokyu Fudosan Holdings (TKFOY) Fair Value & Analysis

Real Estate · US · Market cap $4.5B

Below-average quality, screening 75% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

• The model range is unusually wide ($14.76 to $63.84). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
• Solid quality (47/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
• As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $7.65 – $16.61 · fair‑value band $14.76 – $63.84 · the $16.61 price screens below the $29.10 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

Tokyu Fudosan Holdings (TKFOY) currently trades at $16.61, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $29.10, implying the stock looks roughly 75.2% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 47/100 (below-average quality), in the Real Estate sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Tokyu Fudosan Holdings generated revenue of $1.2T at a net margin of 7.8%. Revenue grew 6.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 11.2%. Net debt stands at $1.6T. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $14.76 (bear case) to $63.84 (bull case); at $16.61, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 36% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at -34% fair-value upside, at 75%, TKFOY screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Widest divergence: Multiples ($4,891) versus Asset-Based ($1,696). Highest evidence: Rev-Margin DCF (74).

Key figures & financial health

Quality Score breakdown

About the company

Tokyu Fudosan Holdings Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the real estate business in Japan and internationally. The company operates through four segments: Urban Development, Strategic Investment, Property Management & Operation, and Real Estate Agents.

Full company description

Tokyu Fudosan Holdings Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the real estate business in Japan and internationally. The company operates through four segments: Urban Development, Strategic Investment, Property Management & Operation, and Real Estate Agents. The Urban Development segment develops and operates office buildings, commercial facilities, condominiums, and other facilities. The Strategic Investment segment develops, leases, and operates renewable energy power generation facilities and logistics facilities, as well as engages in REIT and fund management business. The Property Management & Operation segment engages in providing management services and renovation work for condominiums and buildings; sales and operation of membership resort hotels, urban hotels, golf courses, ski resorts, senior housing, and other; environmental greening business; new businesses based on the internal entrepreneurship program, and other services. The Real-Estate Agents segment is involved in Real estate brokerage, purchase, and resale business; sales agency business; and managing and operating rental housing and student apartments. Tokyu Fudosan Holdings Corporation was founded in 1918 and is headquartered in Tokyo, Japan.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years

Tokyu Fudosan Holdings reported revenue of $1.3T in FY2026 versus $989B in FY2022, a compound +7.5%/yr. Reported net income was $103B in FY2026, compounding +30.7%/yr from FY2022.

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Peer Group

Real Estate - Diversified · 138 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Valuation Multiples vs Real Estate - Diversified median · lower = cheaper

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

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Frequently asked questions

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.