SMPH Fair Value & Analysis
Real Estate · PH · Market cap 807B PHP
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 16 valuation models · updated yesterday
Share price +2.5% over the past month.
A solid business, currently priced close to our fair value.
What matters now
- The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
- A fairly wide model range (9.32 PHP to 21.91 PHP) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
- As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 17.60 PHP – 37.42 PHP · fair‑value band 9.32 PHP – 21.91 PHP · the 18.24 PHP price screens above the 17.53 PHP fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
SMPH (SMPH) currently trades at 18.24 PHP, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 17.53 PHP, implying the stock looks roughly 3.9% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 63/100 (solid quality), in the Real Estate sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
The stock trades on a trailing P/E of 27.6 (as of Jul 10, 2026). Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 9.32 PHP (bear case) to 21.91 PHP (bull case); at 18.24 PHP, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 26% below its 52-week high and 3% above its 52-week low. For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at 150% fair-value upside, at -4%, SMPH screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 16 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (29.13 PHP) versus Dividend Discount (4.06 PHP). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 59 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 29
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2020 – FY2024 · reported fiscal years
SMPH reported revenue of 140B PHP in FY2024 versus 81.9B PHP in FY2020, a compound +14.4%/yr. Reported net income was 45.6B PHP in FY2024, compounding +26.2%/yr from FY2020.
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Peer Group
Real Estate Operations · 39 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Real Estate Operations median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Real Estate Operations stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| RLC RLC | 16.34 PHP | 40.85 PHP | +150% |
| DDPR DDPR | 93.00 PHP | 112.27 PHP | +21% |
| ALLHC ALLHC | 1.16 PHP | 0.7200 PHP | -38% |
| DMW DMW | 5.00 PHP | 5.22 PHP | +4% |
| SLI SLI | 2.08 PHP | 5.20 PHP | +150% |
| PT Rimo International Lestari Tbk RIMO | 50.00 IDR | 72.09 IDR | +44% |
| SHNG SHNG | 3.19 PHP | 7.98 PHP | +150% |
| CLI CLI | 2.14 PHP | 5.35 PHP | +150% |
| GERI GERI | 0.6200 PHP | 1.55 PHP | +150% |
| ALCPD ALCPD | 498.00 PHP | 910.19 PHP | +83% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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