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Flowco Holdings Inc. (FLOC) Fair Value & Analysis

Energy · US · Market cap $2.2B · ISIN US3429091081

What is Flowco Holdings Inc. really worth?

FH Flowco Holdings Inc. logo Flowco Holdings Inc. FLOC · US
Price$21.44
Fair Value$6.60
Upside−69.2%
Quality39/100

Below-average quality, and trading another 225% above our fair value of $6.60.

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Strengths

✓Moderate debt · generates free cash flow

Risks

!Mixed Growth (revenue 3y +72.3 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 5.5% net margin
!Mixed vs. peers (7/14)
!Moderate moat 50/100
!Evidence only medium, so the estimate is less certain

For context

·1.49% dividend yield
Evidence: Medium Range $4.95 – $9.10

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 22 days ago

Share price +5.3% over the past month.

What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($9.10). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Weak quality (39/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
  • A fairly wide model range ($4.95 to $9.10) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Price vs Fair Value (20 months)

$29.62 $14.08 Fair Value $6.60 Jan 2025 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

20‑month range $14.08 – $29.62 · fair‑value band $4.95 – $9.10 · the $21.44 price screens above the $6.60 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

Flowco Holdings Inc. (FLOC) currently trades at $21.44, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $6.60, implying the stock looks roughly 225.1% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 39/100 (below-average quality), in the Energy sector. Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of $27.49 per share, and 10 of the 26 models we run sit above the $21.44 price. Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $1.69, and 16 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.

Over the trailing twelve months, Flowco Holdings Inc. generated revenue of $777M at a net margin of 5.5%. Revenue grew 8.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 10.0%. Net debt stands at $215M. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $4.95 (bear case) to $9.10 (bull case); at $21.44, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 24% below its 52-week high and 55% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at −41% fair-value upside, at −69%, FLOC screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

This estimate rests on fiscal year 2025 figures, and about 8 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly $0.6158 per share, which is 9.3 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

Model Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
EPV best evidence $11.71 $13.85 $15.69 72
FCF DCF $27.51 $43.32 $92.64 69
Growth DCF $25.72 $50.59 $90.65 68
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $27.51 $43.32 $92.64 69
Owner Earnings $9.46 $23.16 $50.86 64
5Y Revenue Exit $12.14 $19.32 $34.08 65
5Y EBITDA Exit $17.73 $30.61 $55.79 66
5Y P/E Exit $10.12 $18.73 $29.44 63
10Y Revenue Exit $16.68 $31.75 $39.17 62
10Y EBITDA Exit $20.97 $43.51 $81.09 59
10Y P/E Exit $15.54 $27.49 $44.74 57
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $3.10 $21.65 $30.38 56
Lynch FV $11.19 $15.98 $20.77 54
PEG = 1.0 $11.19 $15.98 $20.77 51
EPV best evidence $11.71 $13.85 $15.69 72
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $3.42 $6.81 $10.31 60
DDM Multi-Stage $3.42 $5.88 $7.18 60
Multiples
P/E Multiple $4.79 $6.39 $7.99 61
P/S Multiple $5.82 $7.76 $9.70 56
P/B Multiple $3.40 $4.54 $5.67 53
EV/EBIT $10.59 $14.71 $18.84 64
EV/EBITDA $13.31 $18.34 $23.38 66
EV/Revenue $5.24 $8.25 $11.27 52
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $1.26 $1.69 $2.52 52
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $25.72 $50.59 $90.65 68
Rev-Margin DCF $13.41 $22.41 $41.46 64
Economic Profit
Residual Income $2.83 $3.46 $7.57 65
ROIC Compounder $15.91 $25.22 $37.38 64
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $13.11 $18.73 $24.35 61

Widest divergence: DCF Models ($27.49) versus Asset-Based ($1.69). Highest evidence: EPV (72).

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Key figures & financial health

P/E ratio 16.6 as of Jul 17, 2026
P/S ratio 0.90 P/E × margin
EPS (TTM) $1.23 price ÷ EPS = P/E 16.6
Dividend yield 1.5% payout 26.0%
Net margin 5.4% FY2025
Return on equity 10.0% TTM
More key figures
Profitability
Return on assets (EBIT) 12.0% avg 4y
Operating margin 17.5% TTM
Growth
Revenue (TTM) $777M TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) +8.9% 3y avg +72.3%
EPS growth (YoY) −4.1%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow $167M FY2025
Net debt $215M FY2025 · ≈ 1.3 yrs of FCF

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 39/100

Of which business quality 44 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 45

Profitability 37
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 68
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 82
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 45
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 6
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 30
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 46
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 63
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 0
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

Flowco Holdings Inc., through its subsidiaries, provides production optimization, artificial lift, and emissions management and monetization solutions for the oil and natural gas industry in the United States. The company operates in two segments, Production Solutions and Natural Gas Technologies.

Full company description

Flowco Holdings Inc., through its subsidiaries, provides production optimization, artificial lift, and emissions management and monetization solutions for the oil and natural gas industry in the United States. The company operates in two segments, Production Solutions and Natural Gas Technologies. The company involves in the renting, servicing, and sale of high-pressure gas lifts, conventional gas lifts, and plunger lifts; and manufacture and installation of methane abatement technologies that allow producers to reduce methane emissions associated with their wellsite operations, as well as offers digital solutions. It also manufactures, rents, services, and sells vapor recovery unit systems; and manufactures natural gas systems. Flowco Holdings Inc. was incorporated in 2024 and is headquartered in Houston, Texas.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2022 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Flowco Holdings Inc. reported revenue of $760M in FY2025 versus $149M in FY2022, a compound +72.3%/yr. Reported net income was $41.4M in FY2025, compounding +8.1%/yr from FY2022.

Growth Quality 90/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$760M
Latest YoY
+41.9%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+72.3%
Value creation/yr (3Y) ⓘEarnings growth per share (CAGR 3 years) plus dividend yield: value created per share and year.
−47.1% (−48.6 + 1.5)
Revenue +72.3%/yr
FY22 $149M
FY23 $243M
FY24 $535M
FY25 $760M
Net income +8.1%/yr
FY22 $32.7M
FY23 $58.1M
FY24 $80.2M
FY25 $41.4M

FLOC screens 225% overvalued. Compare with SLB N.V →

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Flowco Holdings Inc. · Fair Value
$6.60 −225%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Flowco Holdings Inc. Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/FLOC

Peer Group

Oil & Gas Equipment & Services · 185 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 39 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −69% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 10% · Above median
Return on assets 6% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 5% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 17% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 9% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 1.5% · Below median
Debt / equity 0.73× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Oil & Gas Equipment & Services median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 16.6× · Cheaper than median
P/B 9.50× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 2.80× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 13.0× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 7.6× · Cheaper than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE0 · sector 0
FUTURE45 · sector 0
PAST40 · sector 29
HEALTH63 · sector 92
DIVIDEND30 · sector 36

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Insider activity: 46/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

Oil & gas

Similar stocks

10 more Oil & Gas Equipment & Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
SLB N.V SLB $57.33 $28.66 −50%
Baker Hughes Company BKR $64.63 $32.40 −50%
TechnipFMC plc FTI $75.27 $27.43 −64%
Halliburton Company HAL $36.18 $21.50 −41%
Tenaris S.A TS $53.09 $45.68 −14%
Yantai Jereh Oilfield Services Group 002353 ¥144.58 ¥34.17 −76%
Saipem SpA SPM €4.57 €2.72 −40%
Subsea 7 S.A SUBC kr 341.20 kr 221.37 −35%
China Oilfield Services Limited 601808 ¥12.31 ¥12.64 +3%
Gaztransport & Technigaz SA GTT €211.80 €95.01 −55%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Flowco Holdings Inc. (FLOC) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $6.60 versus a price of $21.44, about −69% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of FLOC?
Our model-based fair value for Flowco Holdings Inc. is $6.60 (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $21.44.
What is the quality score of FLOC?
Flowco Holdings Inc. has a Quality Score of 39/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Flowco Holdings Inc. (FLOC)?
Flowco Holdings Inc. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $777M (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of FLOC?
The net profit margin of Flowco Holdings Inc. is about 5.5%, meaning it keeps roughly 5.5% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Flowco Holdings Inc. pay a dividend?
Flowco Holdings Inc. currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.49% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 13, 2026).
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