PT Bumi Serpong Damai Tbk, (BSDE) Fair Value & Analysis
Real Estate · ID · Market cap 11.6T IDR
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 9 valuation models · updated yesterday
Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from 1,388 IDR to 1,488 IDR (+7.2%) since Jul 11, 2026. Share price +7.2% over the past month.
Below-average quality, screening 150% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (44/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain.
- The price is below even our cautious bear case (1,116 IDR). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
- As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 540.00 IDR – 1,340 IDR · fair‑value band 1,116 IDR – 1,859 IDR · the 595.00 IDR price screens below the 1,488 IDR fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
PT Bumi Serpong Damai Tbk, (BSDE) currently trades at 595.00 IDR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 1,488 IDR, implying the stock looks roughly 150.0% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 44/100 (below-average quality), in the Real Estate sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, PT Bumi Serpong Damai Tbk, generated revenue of 12.8T IDR at a net margin of 19.9%. Revenue grew 7.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 5.7%. Net debt stands at 5.7T IDR. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 1,116 IDR (bear case) to 1,859 IDR (bull case); at 595.00 IDR, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 50% below its 52-week high and 14% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at 12% fair-value upside, at 150%, BSDE screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 9 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples (2,069 IDR) versus Dividend Discount (90.57 IDR). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 40 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 26
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
PT Bumi Serpong Damai Tbk, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the real estate development activities in Indonesia. It operates through Real Estate, Property, Hotel, Toll Road, and Others segments. The company is developing the BSD City, a planned and integrated residential area with amenities/infrastructure, environmental facilities, and parks.
Full company description
PT Bumi Serpong Damai Tbk, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the real estate development activities in Indonesia. It operates through Real Estate, Property, Hotel, Toll Road, and Others segments. The company is developing the BSD City, a planned and integrated residential area with amenities/infrastructure, environmental facilities, and parks. It is also involved in the hotel operations; leasing of office space; concession of toll road projects; and investment and transportation activities. In addition, the company develops apartments and shopping centers; and provision of other financial services. The company was founded in 1984 and is based in Tangerang, Indonesia. PT Bumi Serpong Damai Tbk operates as a subsidiary of Sinarmas Land Limited.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
PT Bumi Serpong Damai Tbk, reported revenue of 12.8T IDR in FY2025 versus 7.7T IDR in FY2021, a compound +13.7%/yr. Reported net income was 2.5T IDR in FY2025, compounding +17.2%/yr from FY2021.
of which total revenue +8.5 pp · buybacks/dilution −1.3 pp
Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
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Peer Group
Real Estate - Development · 592 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Real Estate - Development median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Real Estate - Development stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| DLF Limited DLF | ₹661.75 | ₹146.13 | -78% |
| Lodha Developers Limited LODHA | ₹1,209 | ₹583.43 | -52% |
| PT Pantai Indah Kapuk Dua Tbk, PANI | 6,150 IDR | 1,330 IDR | -78% |
| PT Jaya Real Property, Tbk., JRPT | 1,080 IDR | 1,674 IDR | +55% |
| PT Sentul City Tbk, BKSL | 73.00 IDR | 84.16 IDR | +15% |
| PT Ciputra Development Tbk, CTRA | 610.00 IDR | 1,525 IDR | +150% |
| Khang Dien House Trading and Investment Joint Stock Company KDH | 18,150 VND | 20,338 VND | +12% |
| PT Duta Pertiwi Tbk DUTI | 4,300 IDR | 6,239 IDR | +45% |
| PT Puradelta Lestari Tbk DMAS | 147.00 IDR | 164.33 IDR | +12% |
| Phat Dat Real Estate Development Corporation PDR | 12,100 VND | 4,943 VND | -59% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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