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Archrock Inc (AROC) Fair Value & Analysis

Energy · US · Market cap $6.5B · ISIN US03957W1062

What is Archrock Inc really worth?

AI Archrock Inc logo Archrock Inc AROC · US
Price$32.56
Fair Value$14.97
Upside−54.0%
Quality41/100

Below-average quality, and trading another 117% above our fair value of $14.97.

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Strengths

Highly profitable · 21.5% net margin
Wide moat 79/100

Risks

!Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +11.2 %/yr)
!High debt · generates free cash flow
!Mixed vs. peers (6/15)
!Weak on balance sheet: 19 out of 100

For context

·2.64% dividend yield
Evidence: High Range $9.42 – $22.16

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 24 valuation models · updated 22 days ago

Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from $15.32 to $14.97 (−2.3%) since Jul 20, 2026. Share price −8.9% over the past month.

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($22.16). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Weak quality (41/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
  • A fairly wide model range ($9.42 to $22.16) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$41.95 $5.41 Fair Value $14.97 Jun 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $5.41 – $41.95 · fair‑value band $9.42 – $22.16 · the $32.56 price screens above the $14.97 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

Archrock Inc (AROC) currently trades at $32.56, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $14.97, implying the stock looks roughly 117.5% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 41/100 (below-average quality), in the Energy sector. Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of $22.58 per share, and 1 of the 19 models we run sit above the $32.56 price. Bear case: the DCF Models group reads lowest at $5.62, and 18 of the 19 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.

Over the trailing twelve months, Archrock Inc generated revenue of $1.5B at a net margin of 21.5%. Revenue grew 7.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 22.7%. Net debt stands at $2.4B. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $9.42 (bear case) to $22.16 (bull case); at $32.56, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 18% below its 52-week high and 57% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at −41% fair-value upside, at −54%, AROC screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

This estimate rests on fiscal year 2025 figures, and about 8 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly $0.6659 per share, which is 4.4 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
FCF DCF best evidence $1.19 77
Growth DCF $0.3700 75
EPV $10.89 $14.78 $18.14 74
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF best evidence $1.19 77
5Y Revenue Exit $1.47 69
5Y EBITDA Exit $0.8400 $10.85 $22.32 67
5Y P/E Exit $8.57 $17.76 68
10Y Revenue Exit $0.4800 64
10Y EBITDA Exit $5.62 $15.61 65
10Y P/E Exit $4.09 $12.30 61
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $12.50 $33.26 $43.49 65
Lynch FV $6.44 $9.19 $11.95 61
PEG = 1.0 $6.44 $9.19 $11.95 57
EPV $10.89 $14.78 $18.14 74
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $7.10 $14.14 $21.41 67
DDM Multi-Stage $7.10 $10.81 $14.61 66
Multiples
P/E Multiple $19.31 $25.74 $32.18 63
P/S Multiple $7.65 $10.20 $12.75 58
P/B Multiple $11.49 $15.32 $19.15 55
EV/EBIT $10.89 $19.11 $27.32 64
EV/EBITDA $7.84 $15.03 $22.22 64
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $4.26 $5.70 $8.51 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $0.3700 75
Rev-Margin DCF $1.06 69
Economic Profit
Residual Income $11.33 $14.61 $50.47 64
ROIC Compounder $11.33 $17.05 $23.74 71
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $15.81 $22.58 $29.36 67

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings ($22.58) versus DCF Models ($5.62). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (77).

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Key figures & financial health

P/E ratio 17.7
P/S ratio 3.83 P/E × margin
EPS (TTM) $1.84 price ÷ EPS = P/E 17.7
Dividend yield 2.6% payout 46.7%
Net margin 21.6% FY2025
Return on equity 22.7% TTM
More key figures
Profitability
Return on assets (EBIT) 13.6% avg 5y
Operating margin 35.4% TTM
Growth
Revenue (TTM) $1.5B TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) +7.7% 3y avg +20.8%
EPS growth (YoY) +2.7%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow $120M FY2025
Net debt $2.4B FY2025 · ≈ 20.2 yrs of FCF

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 41/100

Of which business quality 40 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 57

Profitability 53
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 70
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 60
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 23
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 2
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 68
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 48
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 62
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 20
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

Archrock, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates as an energy infrastructure company in the United States. The company operates in two segments, Contract Operations and Aftermarket Services.

Full company description

Archrock, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates as an energy infrastructure company in the United States. The company operates in two segments, Contract Operations and Aftermarket Services. It engages in the designing, sourcing, owning, installing, operating, servicing, repairing, and maintaining of its owned fleet of natural gas compression equipment to provide natural gas compression services. The company also sells over-the-counter parts and components, as well as provides operations, major and routine maintenance, overhaul, and reconfiguration services to customers who own compression equipment. It serves integrated and independent oil and natural gas processors, gatherers, and transporters. Archrock, Inc. was formerly known as Exterran Holdings, Inc. and changed its name to Archrock, Inc. in November 2015. The company was founded in 1990 and is headquartered in Houston, Texas.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Archrock Inc reported revenue of $1.5B in FY2025 versus $781M in FY2021, a compound +17.5%/yr. Reported net income was $322M in FY2025, compounding +83.8%/yr from FY2021. FY2021 was a trough year, so the rate overstates the trend.

Growth Quality 62/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$1.5B
Latest YoY
+28.7%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+20.8%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+11.2%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (26Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+7.4%
Value creation/yr (5Y) Earnings growth per share (CAGR 5 years, EBIT basis) plus dividend yield: value created per share and year.
+7.4% (4.8 + 2.6)
Revenue +17.5%/yr
FY21 $781M
FY22 $846M
FY23 $990M
FY24 $1.2B
FY25 $1.5B
Net income +83.8%/yr
FY21 $28.2M
FY22 $44.3M
FY23 $105M
FY24 $172M
FY25 $322M

AROC screens 117% overvalued. Compare with SLB N.V →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Archrock Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/AROC

Earlier news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

Oil & Gas Equipment & Services · 185 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 41 · Below median
Fair Value upside −54% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 23% · Top 25%
Return on assets 9% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 21% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 35% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 8% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 2.6% · Above median
Debt / equity 1.62× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Oil & Gas Equipment & Services median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 17.7× · Pricier than median
P/B 4.36× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 4.29× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 54.4× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 10.5× · Pricier than median
PEG 1.65× · Pricier than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE0 · sector 0
FUTURE39 · sector 0
PAST91 · sector 29
HEALTH19 · sector 92
DIVIDEND53 · sector 36

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Insider activity: 44/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

Oil & gas

Similar stocks

10 more Oil & Gas Equipment & Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
SLB N.V SLB $57.33 $28.66 −50%
Baker Hughes Company BKR $64.63 $32.40 −50%
TechnipFMC plc FTI $75.27 $27.43 −64%
Halliburton Company HAL $36.18 $21.50 −41%
Tenaris S.A TS $53.09 $45.68 −14%
Yantai Jereh Oilfield Services Group 002353 ¥144.58 ¥34.17 −76%
Saipem SpA SPM €4.57 €2.72 −40%
Subsea 7 S.A SUBC kr 341.20 kr 221.37 −35%
China Oilfield Services Limited 601808 ¥12.31 ¥12.64 +3%
Gaztransport & Technigaz SA GTT €211.80 €95.01 −55%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Archrock Inc (AROC) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $14.97 versus a price of $32.56, about −54% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of AROC?
Our model-based fair value for Archrock Inc is $14.97 (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $32.56.
What is the quality score of AROC?
Archrock Inc has a Quality Score of 41/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Archrock Inc (AROC)?
Archrock Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $1.5B (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of AROC?
The net profit margin of Archrock Inc is about 21.5%, meaning it keeps roughly 21.5% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Archrock Inc pay a dividend?
Archrock Inc currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.64% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 13, 2026).
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