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Topco Scientific Co Ltd (5434) Fair Value & Analysis

Technology · TW · Market cap 108B TWD (≈ $3.4B) · ISIN TW0005434005

What is Topco Scientific Co Ltd really worth?

TS Topco Scientific Co Ltd 5434 · TW
Price538.00 TWD
Fair Value473.70 TWD
Upside−12.0%
Quality63/100

A solid business, but trading 14% above our fair value of 473.70 TWD.

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Strengths

Healthy Growth (revenue 5y +13.3 %/yr)
Low debt · generates free cash flow

Risks

!Thin margins · 6.5% net margin
!Mixed vs. peers (7/14)
!Moderate moat 53/100
!Weak on valuation: 17 out of 100

For context

·2.51% dividend yield
Evidence: High Range 309.73 TWD – 588.56 TWD

Fair value as of: Aug 17, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 19 days ago

Share price +5.1% over the past month.

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

  • A fairly wide model range (309.73 TWD to 588.56 TWD) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
  • The price sits in the upper half of our model range, so the margin of safety is thin.
  • The data supports the verdict: every model runs on fully documented inputs.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

596.00 TWD 93.61 TWD Fair Value 473.70 TWD Apr 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 17, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 93.61 TWD – 596.00 TWD · fair‑value band 309.73 TWD – 588.56 TWD · the 538.00 TWD price screens above the 473.70 TWD fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 17, 2026.

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Analysis

Topco Scientific Co Ltd (5434) currently trades at 538.00 TWD, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 473.70 TWD, implying the stock looks roughly 13.6% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 63/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector. Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of 535.99 TWD per share, and 7 of the 26 models we run sit above the 538.00 TWD price. Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at 69.19 TWD, and 19 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.

Over the trailing twelve months, Topco Scientific Co Ltd generated revenue of 70.4B TWD at a net margin of 6.5%. Revenue grew 17.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 25.3%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 2.8B TWD. Fundamentals as of Aug 17, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 309.73 TWD (bear case) to 588.56 TWD (bull case); at 538.00 TWD, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 109% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at −21% fair-value upside, at −12%, 5434 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

This estimate rests on fiscal year 2025 figures, and about 8 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly 6.68 TWD per share, which is 1.4 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
FCF DCF 294.04 TWD 535.99 TWD 972.94 TWD 77
Growth DCF 290.07 TWD 506.61 TWD 883.70 TWD 76
EPV 179.69 TWD 205.83 TWD 228.70 TWD 74
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF 294.04 TWD 535.99 TWD 972.94 TWD 77
Owner Earnings 265.25 TWD 481.51 TWD 872.07 TWD 73
5Y Revenue Exit 251.63 TWD 430.33 TWD 676.43 TWD 71
5Y EBITDA Exit 328.56 TWD 593.37 TWD 933.49 TWD 73
5Y P/E Exit 398.27 TWD 741.11 TWD 1,145 TWD 69
10Y Revenue Exit 256.12 TWD 433.18 TWD 712.70 TWD 65
10Y EBITDA Exit 315.15 TWD 554.56 TWD 933.78 TWD 66
10Y P/E Exit 361.90 TWD 664.55 TWD 1,116 TWD 62
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 146.79 TWD 746.77 TWD 1,032 TWD 64
Lynch FV 203.09 TWD 290.13 TWD 377.16 TWD 61
PEG = 1.0 203.09 TWD 290.13 TWD 377.16 TWD 57
EPV 179.69 TWD 205.83 TWD 228.70 TWD 74
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM 108.73 TWD 226.08 TWD 358.65 TWD 66
DDM Multi-Stage 108.73 TWD 190.64 TWD 237.28 TWD 66
Multiples
P/E Multiple 453.32 TWD 604.43 TWD 755.54 TWD 63
P/S Multiple 275.23 TWD 366.97 TWD 458.72 TWD 58
P/B Multiple 275.23 TWD 366.97 TWD 458.72 TWD 55
EV/EBIT 437.43 TWD 575.62 TWD 713.80 TWD 66
EV/EBITDA 367.44 TWD 482.30 TWD 597.15 TWD 67
EV/Revenue 232.45 TWD 322.27 TWD 412.10 TWD 54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 51.64 TWD 69.19 TWD 103.27 TWD 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF 290.07 TWD 506.61 TWD 883.70 TWD 76
Rev-Margin DCF 251.63 TWD 425.22 TWD 656.37 TWD 71
Economic Profit
Residual Income 137.45 TWD 172.93 TWD 553.78 TWD 64
ROIC Compounder 204.27 TWD 271.45 TWD 360.40 TWD 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E 360.96 TWD 515.65 TWD 670.35 TWD 67

Widest divergence: DCF Models (535.99 TWD) versus Asset-Based (69.19 TWD). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (77).

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Key figures & financial health

P/E ratio 25.2
P/S ratio 1.56 P/E × margin
EPS (TTM) 21.39 TWD price ÷ EPS = P/E 25.2
Dividend yield 2.5% payout 63.1%
Net margin 6.2% FY2025
Return on equity 25.3% TTM
More key figures
Profitability
Return on assets (EBIT) 11.4% avg 5y
Operating margin 7.7% TTM
Growth
Revenue (TTM) 70.4B TWD TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) +17.6% 3y avg +8.5%
EPS growth (YoY) +24.3%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow 3.9B TWD FY2025
Net cash 2.8B TWD FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 17, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 63/100

Of which business quality 63 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 81

Profitability 62
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 60
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 48
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 83
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 54
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 57
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 91
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 90
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 71
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

Topco Scientific Co.,Ltd. provides precision materials, manufacturing equipment, and components worldwide. The company offers quartz wafer carrier plates, such as synthetic quartz wafer and quartz substrate; furnace quartz, and quartz crucible for single crystal and polycrystalline; and chemicals, such as CMP, photoresist, and specialty gases, and chemicals.

Full company description

Topco Scientific Co.,Ltd. provides precision materials, manufacturing equipment, and components worldwide. The company offers quartz wafer carrier plates, such as synthetic quartz wafer and quartz substrate; furnace quartz, and quartz crucible for single crystal and polycrystalline; and chemicals, such as CMP, photoresist, and specialty gases, and chemicals. It also provides wafers, wafer carriers, and wafer related supplies; photomask and mask carriers; electronic materials, such as protective, packaging, thermal conductive, conductive, and special application materials; SiC and GaN epi wafers and substrates, and Sic reclaim wafers; power device electrical analysis instruments; and IC foundry services. In addition, the company offers turbo compressors and blowers, metal additive manufacturing equipment, atmospheric pressure plasma, horizontal and vertical tube cleaner, high pressure clean system, fire extinguishing systems, and organic solvent dehydration and recycling system, as well as LCD related equipment and services. Further, the company engages in wholesale sale of chemicals; provision of sports training services; wholesale of semiconductor materials, optoelectronic components, and electronic products; wholesale and retail of aquatic products; trading of food; project business development of renewable energy; piping engineering and electrical installation; solar system engineering activities; antifouling treatment agents and light blocking materials; sale of renewable electricity; operation of supermarkets; restaurant management; vacuum pump equipment waste removal maintenance; planning, evaluation of environmental-related projects; international trading; sale and design of integrated circuits; and waste water and clean room environmental engineering activities. It serves semiconductors, package and testing, semiconductor equipment, electronics, LCD, LED, and solar industries. The company was incorporated in 1990 and is headquartered in Taipei, Taiwan.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Topco Scientific Co Ltd reported revenue of 67.6B TWD in FY2025 versus 42.7B TWD in FY2021, a compound +12.2%/yr. Reported net income was 4.2B TWD in FY2025, compounding +16.2%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 89/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
67.6B TWD
Latest YoY
+18.6%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+8.5%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+13.3%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (23Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+12.7%
Value creation/yr (5Y, in TWD) Earnings growth per share (CAGR 5 years) plus dividend yield: value created per share and year. Measured in TWD: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+16.3% (13.8 + 2.5)
Revenue +12.2%/yr
FY21 42.7B TWD
FY22 53.0B TWD
FY23 49.3B TWD
FY24 57.0B TWD
FY25 67.6B TWD
Net income +16.2%/yr
FY21 2.3B TWD
FY22 3.0B TWD
FY23 2.8B TWD
FY24 3.7B TWD
FY25 4.2B TWD
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2014-2025) +13.4 % p.a.
Revenue per share +10.9 %

of which total revenue +12.6 % · buybacks/dilution −1.5 %

EBIT margin +2.0 %
Tax rate −0.6 %
Residual (interest, one-offs) +0.8 %

Annual growth per factor. These are factors, not summands: multiplied they give the EPS growth rate, added they do not quite. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

5434 screens 14% overvalued. Compare with TD SYNNEX Corporation →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Topco Scientific Co Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/5434

Peer Group

Electronics & Computer Distribution · 153 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 63 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −12% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 25% · Top 25%
Return on assets 7% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 6% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 8% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 18% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 2.5% · Below median
Debt / equity 0.13× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Electronics & Computer Distribution median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 25.2× · Pricier than median
P/B 5.41× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 1.54× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 0.9× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 20.4× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE17 · sector 29
FUTURE88 · sector 63
PAST100 · sector 36
HEALTH93 · sector 98
DIVIDEND50 · sector 51

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Electronics & Computer Distribution stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 17, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
TD SYNNEX Corporation SNX $262.53 $289.83 +10%
Unisplendour Corporation 000938 ¥39.60 ¥16.52 −58%
Rexel S.A RXL €35.43 €32.05 −10%
Arrow Electronics, Inc ARW $203.92 $114.08 −44%
Avnet, Inc AVT $97.31 $77.07 −21%
WPG Holdings 3702 123.50 TWD 148.26 TWD +20%
Nanjing Sunlord Electronics Corporation 300975 ¥25.02 ¥12.34 −51%
Shenzhen Huaqiang Industry Co 000062 ¥22.20 ¥7.52 −66%
Insight Enterprises, Inc NSIT $150.63 $118.72 −21%
Shenzhen H&T Intelligent Control Co. 002402 ¥18.95 ¥20.12 +6%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Topco Scientific Co Ltd (5434) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 17, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 473.70 TWD versus a price of 538.00 TWD, about −12% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 5434?
Our model-based fair value for Topco Scientific Co Ltd is 473.70 TWD (as of Aug 17, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 538.00 TWD.
What is the quality score of 5434?
Topco Scientific Co Ltd has a Quality Score of 63/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Topco Scientific Co Ltd (5434)?
Topco Scientific Co Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 70.4B TWD (latest available figure, as of Aug 17, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 5434?
The net profit margin of Topco Scientific Co Ltd is about 6.5%, meaning it keeps roughly 6.5% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Topco Scientific Co Ltd pay a dividend?
Topco Scientific Co Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.51% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 17, 2026).
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