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500830 Fair Value & Analysis

IN · Market cap ₹466B

5 500830 500830 · BSE
Price₹1,981
Fair Value₹835.22
Upside-57.8%
Quality82/100
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Mixed Growth
Thin margins · 0.0% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Evidence: High Range ₹610.09 – ₹1,111 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 23 valuation models · updated yesterday

Share price −3.1% over the past month.

A strong business, but screening 58% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • A high-quality business (quality 82/100), yet the market already pays well above fair value. Quality at a full price, with little margin of safety.
  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (₹1,111). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • A fairly wide model range (₹610.09 to ₹1,111) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

₹3,685 ₹1,259 Fair Value ₹835.22 Apr 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ₹1,259 – ₹3,685 · fair‑value band ₹610.09 – ₹1,111 · the ₹1,981 price screens above the ₹835.22 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

500830 (500830) currently trades at ₹1,981, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹835.22, implying the stock looks roughly 57.8% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 82/100 (high quality). Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

The stock trades on a trailing P/E of 45.0 (as of Jul 4, 2026). Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ₹610.09 (bear case) to ₹1,111 (bull case); at ₹1,981, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 19% below its 52-week high and 13% above its 52-week low.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF ₹931.21 ₹1,322 ₹1,889 80
Residual Income ₹411.18 ₹727.04 ₹19,034 76
Rev-Margin DCF ₹629.91 ₹888.46 ₹1,173 74
All 23 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF ₹904.89 ₹1,326 ₹1,965 38
Owner Earnings ₹741.54 ₹1,081 ₹1,596 31
5Y Revenue Exit ₹629.91 ₹877.36 ₹1,178 39
5Y EBITDA Exit ₹802.78 ₹1,188 ₹1,619 41
5Y P/E Exit ₹843.49 ₹1,261 ₹1,680 38
10Y Revenue Exit ₹707.22 ₹952.06 ₹1,251 36
10Y EBITDA Exit ₹831.81 ₹1,168 ₹1,582 37
10Y P/E Exit ₹857.94 ₹1,219 ₹1,628 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ₹386.73 ₹963.14 ₹1,249 54
PEG = 1.0 ₹175.57 ₹250.81 ₹326.05 46
EPV ₹645.51 ₹748.63 ₹840.29 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple ₹853.09 ₹1,137 ₹1,422 63
P/S Multiple ₹481.45 ₹641.93 ₹802.41 58
P/B Multiple ₹152.95 ₹203.94 ₹254.92 55
EV/EBIT ₹1,060 ₹1,393 ₹1,725 53
EV/EBITDA ₹843.46 ₹1,104 ₹1,365 54
EV/Revenue ₹510.54 ₹703.12 ₹895.70 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ₹33.99 ₹45.55 ₹67.98 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF ₹931.21 ₹1,322 ₹1,889 80
Rev-Margin DCF ₹629.91 ₹888.46 ₹1,173 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income ₹411.18 ₹727.04 ₹19,034 76
ROIC Compounder ₹646.89 ₹751.84 ₹846.22 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ₹659.18 ₹941.68 ₹1,224 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models (₹1,168) versus Asset-Based (₹45.55). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Return on equity 7,503%
Free cash flow ₹17.3B FY2025
P/E ratio 45.0 as of Jul 4, 2026
EPS (TTM) ₹38.07

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 82/100

Of which business quality 83 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 46

Profitability 98
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 33
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 89
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 93
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 90
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 81
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 36
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 24
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

500830 reported revenue of ₹59.8B in FY2025 versus ₹51.0B in FY2021, a compound +4.1%/yr. Reported net income was ₹13.3B in FY2025, compounding +5.3%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 66/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
₹59.8B
Latest YoY
−0.9%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+4.6%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+4.3%
Avg. growth/yr (9Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+3.2%
Revenue +4.1%/yr
FY21 ₹51.0B
FY22 ₹52.3B
FY23 ₹56.8B
FY24 ₹60.4B
FY25 ₹59.8B
Net income +5.3%/yr
FY21 ₹10.8B
FY22 ₹10.5B
FY23 ₹13.2B
FY24 ₹14.4B
FY25 ₹13.3B

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "500830 Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/500830

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 0
FUTURE 0 · sector 0
PAST 0 · sector 0
HEALTH 100 · sector 0
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 0

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

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Frequently asked questions

Is 500830 overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ₹835.22 versus a price of ₹1,981, about −58% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 500830?
Our model-based fair value for 500830 is ₹835.22 (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ₹1,981.
What is the quality score of 500830?
500830 has a Quality Score of 82/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the net profit margin of 500830?
The net profit margin of 500830 is about 0.0%, meaning it keeps roughly 0.0% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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