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Grg Metrology (002967) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · CN · Market cap 11.6B CNY (≈ $1.7B) · ISIN CNE100003Q57

What is Grg Metrology really worth?

GM Grg Metrology 002967 · SHE
Price¥17.67
Fair Value¥11.69
Upside−33.8%
Quality67/100

A solid business, but trading 51% above our fair value of ¥11.69.

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Strengths

Healthy Growth (revenue 5y +14.3 %/yr)
Solidly profitable · 11.8% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow

Risks

!Trails peers (5/14)
!Narrow moat 43/100

For context

·1.98% dividend yield
Evidence: High Range ¥8.46 – ¥14.91

Fair value as of: Aug 23, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 13 days ago

Share price +1.8% over the past month.

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥14.91). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (67/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

¥42.16 ¥9.46 Fair Value ¥11.69 Mar 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 23, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥9.46 – ¥42.16 · fair‑value band ¥8.46 – ¥14.91 · the ¥17.67 price screens above the ¥11.69 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 23, 2026.

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Analysis

Grg Metrology (002967) currently trades at ¥17.67, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥11.69, implying the stock looks roughly 51.1% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 67/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of ¥22.23 per share, and 11 of the 26 models we run sit above the ¥17.67 price. Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at ¥3.80, and 15 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.

Over the trailing twelve months, Grg Metrology generated revenue of 3.7B CNY at a net margin of 11.8%. Revenue grew 15.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 10.7%. Net debt stands at 769M CNY. Fundamentals as of Aug 23, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥8.46 (bear case) to ¥14.91 (bull case); at ¥17.67, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 33% below its 52-week high and 10% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −2% fair-value upside, at −34%, 002967 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

This estimate rests on fiscal year 2025 figures, and about 8 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly ¥0.2910 per share, which is 2.5 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
FCF DCF ¥12.30 ¥20.48 ¥43.70 75
EPV ¥6.98 ¥8.06 ¥9.01 74
Growth DCF ¥11.76 ¥22.72 ¥43.51 74
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF ¥12.30 ¥20.48 ¥43.70 75
Owner Earnings ¥10.61 ¥23.45 ¥50.33 70
5Y Revenue Exit ¥9.01 ¥15.87 ¥28.95 69
5Y EBITDA Exit ¥13.98 ¥26.66 ¥49.54 71
5Y P/E Exit ¥11.19 ¥22.23 ¥36.33 68
10Y Revenue Exit ¥9.68 ¥18.30 ¥28.62 65
10Y EBITDA Exit ¥13.45 ¥27.64 ¥53.55 64
10Y P/E Exit ¥11.49 ¥22.39 ¥40.86 61
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ¥4.53 ¥31.42 ¥44.09 63
Lynch FV ¥9.27 ¥13.24 ¥17.21 61
PEG = 1.0 ¥9.27 ¥13.24 ¥17.21 57
EPV ¥6.98 ¥8.06 ¥9.01 74
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ¥2.42 ¥5.04 ¥7.99 66
DDM Multi-Stage ¥2.42 ¥4.25 ¥5.29 66
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥10.49 ¥13.99 ¥17.49 63
P/S Multiple ¥8.46 ¥11.28 ¥14.11 58
P/B Multiple ¥8.49 ¥11.32 ¥14.16 55
EV/EBIT ¥10.15 ¥13.37 ¥16.59 66
EV/EBITDA ¥14.94 ¥19.76 ¥24.58 67
EV/Revenue ¥7.38 ¥10.34 ¥13.29 54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥2.83 ¥3.80 ¥5.67 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF ¥11.76 ¥22.72 ¥43.51 74
Rev-Margin DCF ¥9.01 ¥16.70 ¥28.12 70
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥5.22 ¥6.12 ¥11.94 72
ROIC Compounder ¥8.02 ¥11.59 ¥14.36 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ¥12.70 ¥18.14 ¥23.59 67

Widest divergence: DCF Models (¥22.23) versus Asset-Based (¥3.80). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (75).

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Key figures & financial health

P/E ratio 22.7
P/S ratio 2.67 P/E × margin
EPS (TTM) ¥0.7800 price ÷ EPS = P/E 22.7
Dividend yield 2.0% payout 44.9%
Net margin 11.8% FY2025
Return on equity 10.7% TTM
More key figures
Profitability
Return on assets (EBIT) 4.7% avg 5y
Operating margin 1.1% TTM
Growth
Revenue (TTM) 3.7B CNY TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) +15.4% 3y avg +11.4%
EPS growth (YoY) +226%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow 481M CNY FY2025
Net debt 769M CNY FY2025 · ≈ 1.6 yrs of FCF

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 23, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 67/100

Of which business quality 68 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 38

Profitability 45
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 56
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 69
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 79
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 66
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 70
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 23
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 27
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 96
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

GRG Metrology & Test Group Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, operates as a third-party measurement and testing institution in China.

Full company description

GRG Metrology & Test Group Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, operates as a third-party measurement and testing institution in China. It offers measurement and calibration, environmental and reliability testing, EMC testing, chemical and failure analysis, safety test and certification, environmental monitoring, and food and agricultural product testing services; integrated circuit testing and analysis, electromagnetic compatibility testing, and ecological environment testing; and EHS evaluation services, including safety evaluation, environmental impact assessment, and occupational health evaluation; and reference materials. The company also provides data science analysis and evaluation services, such as network security, software evaluation, and artificial intelligence testing; and technical services, including artificial intelligence ecosystem verification and human-machine efficacy evaluation, as well as digital services comprising data governance capability evaluation, digital evaluation consulting and training, and data asset security compliance evaluation and inclusion. In addition, It offers technical training and consulting; and software development services. The company serves the vehicle, aviation, rail transit, ship, communication, electricity, food, agriculture, medical, electronic, textile, and petrochemical industries. The company was formerly known as Guang Zhou GRG Metrology & Test Co., Ltd and changed its name to GRG Metrology & Test Group Co., Ltd. in March 2023. GRG Metrology & Test Group Co., Ltd. was founded in 1964 and is based in Guangzhou, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Grg Metrology reported revenue of 3.6B CNY in FY2025 versus 2.2B CNY in FY2021, a compound +12.5%/yr. Reported net income was 425M CNY in FY2025, compounding +23.6%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 95/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
3.6B CNY
Latest YoY
+12.1%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+11.4%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+14.3%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (13Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+27.5%
Value creation/yr (5Y) Earnings growth per share (CAGR 5 years) plus dividend yield: value created per share and year.
+14.6% (12.6 + 2.0)
Revenue +12.5%/yr
FY21 2.2B CNY
FY22 2.6B CNY
FY23 2.9B CNY
FY24 3.2B CNY
FY25 3.6B CNY
Net income +23.6%/yr
FY21 182M CNY
FY22 184M CNY
FY23 199M CNY
FY24 352M CNY
FY25 425M CNY
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2014-2025) +12.0 % p.a.
Revenue per share +12.3 %

of which total revenue +25.5 % · buybacks/dilution −10.5 %

EBIT margin +1.4 %
Tax rate +0.9 %
Residual (interest, one-offs) −2.6 %

Annual growth per factor. These are factors, not summands: multiplied they give the EPS growth rate, added they do not quite. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

002967 screens 51% overvalued. Compare with Verisk Analytics, Inc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Grg Metrology Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/002967

Peer Group

Consulting Services · 80 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 67 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −34% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 11% · Above median
Return on assets 4% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 12% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 1% · Below median
Revenue growth 15% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 2.0% · Below median
Debt / equity 0.22× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Consulting Services median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 22.7× · Pricier than median
P/B 3.20× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 3.12× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 3.6× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 13.9× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE0 · sector 25
FUTURE77 · sector 17
PAST43 · sector 35
HEALTH89 · sector 89
DIVIDEND40 · sector 61

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Insider activity: 40/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

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10 more Consulting Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 23, 2026).

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ALS Limited ALQ A$21.94 A$10.93 −50%
Booz Allen Hamilton Holding BAH $75.38 $146.45 +94%
DKSH Holding DKSH CHF 66.30 CHF 64.81 −2%
FTI Consulting, Inc FCN $151.36 $168.44 +11%
Centre Testing International Group 300012 ¥14.98 ¥11.90 −21%
Ipsos SA IPS €38.98 €83.21 +113%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Grg Metrology (002967) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥11.69 versus a price of ¥17.67, about −34% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 002967?
Our model-based fair value for Grg Metrology is ¥11.69 (as of Aug 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥17.67.
What is the quality score of 002967?
Grg Metrology has a Quality Score of 67/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Grg Metrology (002967)?
Grg Metrology reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 3.7B CNY (latest available figure, as of Aug 23, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 002967?
The net profit margin of Grg Metrology is about 11.8%, meaning it keeps roughly 11.8% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Grg Metrology pay a dividend?
Grg Metrology currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.98% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 23, 2026).
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