Impala Platinum Holdings Ltd PK (IMPUY) fair value: what the stock is really worth
We calculate from audited financials what Impala Platinum Holdings Ltd PK is really worth. The fair value tells you whether the price is too high or too low, the quality score (0 to 100) how solid the business behind it is. 26 models, 37 quality factors, updated daily, free.
Compare price with fair valuebelow fair value = cheap, above = expensive
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Basic Materials · US · Market cap $13.0B · ISIN US4525533083
At a glance
IPImpala Platinum Holdings Ltd PKIMPUY · US
Price$14.48
Fair Value$2.89
Upside−80.0%
Quality52/100
A solid business, but trading 401% above our fair value of $2.89.
As of Sep 5, 2026, the fair value of Impala Platinum Holdings Ltd PK is $2.89 per share against a price of $14.48, so the fair value sits 80% below the price. A model estimate from reported figures, not an analyst target.
!Weak Growth (revenue 5y +4.1 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 7.9% net margin
✓Low debt · generates free cash flow
·2.77% dividend yield
✓Ranks above peers (9/11)
!Moderate moat 51/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
Evidence: LowRange $2.24 to $3.54
Fair value as of: Sep 5, 2026
From 25 valuation models · updated 6 days ago
Share price +11.1% over the past month.
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69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($3.54). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
Solid but not exceptional quality (52/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 5, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $3.05 – $22.96 · fair‑value band $2.24 – $3.54 · the $14.48 price screens above the $2.89 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 5, 2026.
Impala Platinum Holdings Ltd PK (IMPUY) currently trades at $14.48, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $2.89, implying the stock looks roughly 401.0% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 52/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bull case: the Growth DCF group reads highest at a median of $28.21 per share, and 22 of the 25 models we run sit above the $14.48 price. Bear case: the Multiples group reads lowest at $14.40, and 3 of the 25 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Over the trailing twelve months, Impala Platinum Holdings Ltd PK generated revenue of $104B at a net margin of 7.9%. Revenue grew 43.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 8.3%. The stock trades on a trailing P/E of 25.9. Fundamentals as of Sep 5, 2026
Scenario range: $2.24 (bear) to $3.54 (bull), the price of $14.48 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target. The share trades about 37% below its 52-week high and 86% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at −50% fair-value upside, at −80%, IMPUY screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model values the company its own way; the fair value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0 to 100) shows how complete a model's inputs are. How we calculate →
ModelBear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence
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Key figures & financial health
P/E ratio25.9
P/S ratio0.23P/E × margin
EPS (TTM)$0.5600price ÷ EPS = P/E 25.9
Dividend yield2.8%payout 71.6%
Net margin0.9%FY2025
Return on equity8.3%TTM
More key figures
Profitability
Return on assets (EBIT)17.2%avg 5y
Operating margin21.9%TTM
Growth
Revenue (TTM)$104BTTM
Revenue growth (YoY)+43.7%3y avg −10.3%
EPS growth (YoY)+400%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow$509MFY2025
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Sep 5, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Overall quality52/100
Of which business quality 48
· Market factors (momentum, volatility) 50
Profitability20
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth34
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow39
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength55
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment89
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility23
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum61
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum60
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance73
Buybacks instead of dilution
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
Impala Platinum Holdings Limited engages in the mining, concentrating, refining, and sells of platinum group metals (PGMs) and associated base metals in South Africa, Zimbabwe, and Canada. The company produces platinum, palladium, rhodium, nickel, and by-products, as well as ruthenium, iridium, and gold.
Full company description
Impala Platinum Holdings Limited engages in the mining, concentrating, refining, and sells of platinum group metals (PGMs) and associated base metals in South Africa, Zimbabwe, and Canada. The company produces platinum, palladium, rhodium, nickel, and by-products, as well as ruthenium, iridium, and gold. It has mining operations on the Bushveld Complex located in South Africa; and the Great Dyke situated in Zimbabwe, as well as the Canadian Shield. The company was incorporated in 1957 and is based in Illovo, South Africa.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Impala Platinum Holdings Ltd PK reported revenue of 85.5B ZAR in FY2025 versus 130B ZAR in FY2021, a compound −9.9%/yr. Reported net income was 761M ZAR in FY2025, compounding −64.3%/yr from FY2021.
Growth Quality 40/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$85.5B
Latest YoY
−1.1%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−10.3%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+4.1%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (11Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+36.8%
Value creation/yr (5Y, in ZAR) ⓘEarnings growth per share (CAGR 5 years) plus dividend yield: value created per share and year. Measured in ZAR: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
−44.3%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend yield: the value created per share and year.
Earnings growth per share−47.1%
Dividend yield2.8%
Operating margin (EBIT) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.33.3% (2020) → 2.8% (2025) · falling
Worst earnings drop151% (2024) (loss year, drop beyond 100%) · in USD
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How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation
Quality Score52 · Above median
Fair Value upside+19% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)8% · Above median
Return on assets6% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM)8% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM)22% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth44% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM)2.8% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.01× · Below median
Valuation Multiples vs Other Precious Metals & Mining median · lower = cheaper
P/E (TTM)25.9× · Priciest 25%
P/FCF23.2× · Pricier than median
What the price implies (reverse DCF)
The inverse question: what free-cash-flow growth must Impala Platinum Holdings Ltd PK deliver for ten years so that today's price is fair in our DCF model? Same formula, same discount rate as the fair value.
Implied FCF growth, 10 years+13.4 % per year
Achieved revenue growth, 5 years+4.1 % p.a.
Sector median revenue growth+3.3 %
FCF yield on price3.92 %
Discount rate (WACC) in the models9.5 %
The price demands an acceleration versus past growth: a high bar the company still has to clear. Ranking of the largest stocks →
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
This stockSector peers
VALUE62· sector 0
FUTURE100· sector 94
PAST33· sector 0
HEALTH99· sector 99
DIVIDEND51· sector 42
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
None of the checked exposures detected
Similar stocks
10 more Other Precious Metals & Mining stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Sep 5, 2026).
Is Impala Platinum Holdings Ltd PK (IMPUY) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 5, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $2.89 versus a price of $14.48, about −80% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of IMPUY?
Our model-based fair value for Impala Platinum Holdings Ltd PK is $2.89 (as of Sep 5, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $14.48.
What is the quality score of IMPUY?
Impala Platinum Holdings Ltd PK has a Quality Score of 52/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Impala Platinum Holdings Ltd PK (IMPUY)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $2.89 (as of Sep 5, 2026) from 25 valuation models. Cautious scenario $2.24, optimistic scenario $3.54. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Impala Platinum Holdings Ltd PK stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $2.89, about −80% upside versus a price of $14.48 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $2.24, optimistic scenario $3.54. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Impala Platinum Holdings Ltd PK (IMPUY)?
Impala Platinum Holdings Ltd PK reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $104B (latest available figure, as of Sep 5, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of IMPUY?
The net profit margin of Impala Platinum Holdings Ltd PK is about 7.9%, meaning it keeps roughly 7.9% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Impala Platinum Holdings Ltd PK pay a dividend?
Impala Platinum Holdings Ltd PK currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.77% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 5, 2026).
What growth is priced into Impala Platinum Holdings Ltd PK (IMPUY)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Impala Platinum Holdings Ltd PK would have to grow free cash flow by +13.4 % per year for ten years (discount rate 9.5 %, then 2 % perpetual growth). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +4.1 % per year. As of Sep 5, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of IMPUY use?
Our models discount Impala Platinum Holdings Ltd PK at 9.5 %: a base by market capitalisation (large), damped by beta 1.21. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is the intrinsic value of Impala Platinum Holdings Ltd PK (IMPUY)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Impala Platinum Holdings Ltd PK it is $2.89 per share (as of Sep 5, 2026), against a price of $14.48. It is the blended result of 25 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Impala Platinum Holdings Ltd PK stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 5, 2026, IMPUY trades above its calculated fair value: price $14.48, fair value $2.89, a gap of about −80% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of IMPUY?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($14.48); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($2.89). For Impala Platinum Holdings Ltd PK the two are $11.59 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Impala Platinum Holdings Ltd PK worth?
The market values Impala Platinum Holdings Ltd PK at about $13.0B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 5, 2026). Per share that is $14.48; our models calculate a fair value of $2.89 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about IMPUY?
Our models span a range for Impala Platinum Holdings Ltd PK: cautious scenario $2.24, base $2.89, optimistic $3.54 per share (as of Sep 5, 2026, price $14.48). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of IMPUY?
Impala Platinum Holdings Ltd PK trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 25.9 (as of Sep 5, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $2.89 is built from several models across several years.
How solid is the balance sheet of Impala Platinum Holdings Ltd PK (IMPUY)?
Balance-sheet figures for Impala Platinum Holdings Ltd PK (as of Sep 5, 2026): return on equity 8.3%, debt of 0.01 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 52/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is IMPUY from its 52-week high?
Impala Platinum Holdings Ltd PK trades at $14.48, about 37% below its 52-week high of $23.07 and 86% above the low of $7.80 (as of Sep 5, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $2.89 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Impala Platinum Holdings Ltd PK?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value PT Amman Mineral Internasional Tbk, Hecla Mining Company, Compañía de Minas Buenaventura S.A., Sibanye Stillwater Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Impala Platinum Holdings Ltd PK stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 5, 2026: price $14.48, calculated fair value $2.89 (−80%), Quality Score 52/100, from 25 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of IMPUY calculated?
We run Impala Platinum Holdings Ltd PK through 25 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $2.89, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 32.6 % above its aggregate fair value. Impala Platinum Holdings Ltd PK itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on <a href="/is-it-worth-investing-now/">is it worth investing now</a>.
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Impala Platinum Holdings Ltd PK
IMPUY · US